A solid framework for making value-based decisions is crucial for successful crypto investing. Although the efficient-market hypothesis suggests that asset prices already incorporate all available information and reflect their perfect value, numerous examples in both crypto and stock markets contradict this theory. Markets are often irrational, and prices do not always reflect value, as seen in the significant fluctuations of Apple and GAP’s stock prices.
This is where the concept of value investing comes into play. By identifying underpriced securities due to market irrationality, value investing aims to find those trading below market value with the hope that their price will eventually reflect their true value. The same principle applies to crypto assets, where price movements often do not accurately reflect the real value of the network.
Fundamental analysis is a valuable tool that enables investors to spot these opportunities. By understanding the industry and looking beyond market hype, investors can identify high-potential investments with sustainable growth potential.
It is crucial to distinguish between prices and value. While prices are influenced by various factors such as sentiment, market hype, and speculation, value refers to determining an asset’s financial worth through fundamental analysis. As the crypto industry matures, traditional financial valuation methods are becoming increasingly important in identifying projects with sustainable growth potential.
Given the diversity of crypto assets, there is no one-size-fits-all valuation method. Investors need to categorize the token and use an analysis of their choice to determine its value. Long-term successful investing in crypto requires a solid framework based on value rather than speculation.
This was an excerpt from “Digital Asset Valuation Framework,” published by HashKey Capital in April 2024. Jupiter Zheng, a partner at HashKey Capital, is the author of this article. It is intended for general information purposes and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views expressed are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Cointelegraph.
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